With the 2024 NFL Combine looming in less than two weeks, the contours of the top prospects are steadily taking shape. As the anticipation builds, explore our comprehensive first-round mock draft, providing insights into the potential selections, as of February 19, 2024.
1. Chicago Bears (via Panthers): Caleb Williams, QB, USC
Despite facing challenges in 2023, Williams continues to stand out as the probable first-overall draft pick, recognized as a generational quarterback prospect. Despite a dip in overall production compared to his outstanding 2022 Heisman season, marked by a reduced number of pass attempts, Williams demonstrated improvement with an impressive 9.4 yards per pass attempt and a notable 11 rushing touchdowns. The prospect of drafting Williams and trading Justin Fields provides the Bears with an opportunity to reset the quarterback contract clock.
2. Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU
Daniels’ rise to prominence firmly places him in the top five discussion, following a Heisman Trophy-winning performance in an exceptional year. Showcasing impeccable accuracy, he has evolved into a reliable playmaker within the LSU offense, boasting a completion rate exceeding 72% and accumulating over 1,100 rushing yards. The addition of Kliff Kingsbury, the new coordinator for Washington, who previously coached dynamic quarterbacks like Kyler Murray in Arizona, adds an experienced touch to this promising quarterback’s trajectory.
3. New England Patriots: Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina
New England has conceded on their former first-round pick, Mac Jones, and Maye emerges as a prospect with significantly more raw talent. Demonstrating dynamic prowess over the past two seasons, Maye boasts impressive stats, with 24 touchdown passes and nine rushing touchdowns in 2023 alone. His physical attributes, including size and arm strength, align with the qualities expected of a top overall pick.
4. Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State
Harrison Jr. further solidified his status as a generational wide receiver prospect, achieving an impressive over 18 yards per reception and accumulating more than 1,200 receiving yards in 2023. His skill set makes him an ideal fit for Arizona, presenting a potential replacement for pending free agent Marquise Brown.
5. Los Angeles Chargers: Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia
The Chargers consistently seek additional receiver support to complement Justin Herbert, and in this regard, Bowers is a standout choice. Drawing comparisons to Gronk for his exceptional receiving skills and size, Bowers presents a compelling option, especially considering the impending free agency status of the current starter, Gerald Everett.
6. New York Giants: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU
Nabers, once considered a fringe first-round prospect, catapulted into the limelight in 2023, dominating the SEC with an impressive performance of over 1,500 yards and 14 touchdowns. The New York team is in dire need of receiver assistance, particularly following Darren Waller’s underwhelming season.
7. Tennessee Titans: Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame
Tennessee’s attempt to bolster the tackle position in the previous season with Andre Dillard proved unsuccessful, making it conceivable for them to target a first-round lineman for the second consecutive year. Alt, with the lineage of former first-round tackle John Alt and standing at an imposing 6-foot-7, brings both pedigree and size to the table.
8. Atlanta Falcons: Dallas Turner, DE, Alabama
The Falcons might opt for youth on the defensive line, especially given the uncertain status of veteran Calais Campbell from last year. Turner, following an exceptional season, notched up impressive stats with 10 sacks and 14.5 tackles for loss for Alabama.
9. Chicago Bears: Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State
Chicago selected Darnell Wright at right tackle in the previous year’s draft, and Fashanu is a seamless fit for the left side. With the potential to be a formidable presence, Fashanu has demonstrated strong performance during his time at Penn State.
10. New York Jets: Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State
Shielding the quarterback emerged as a significant challenge for the Jets in 2023, extending from Aaron Rodgers onwards. Fuaga stands as a prospective successor for the left side, potentially stepping into the role vacated by former first-round pick Mekhi Becton.
11. Minnesota Vikings: Laiatu Latu, DE, UCLA
Minnesota has managed on the defensive line, but the combination of Danielle Hunter’s age and impending free agency creates a necessity for an edge rusher. Latu has solidified his position as one of the premier edge rushers in the class, boasting an impressive 23.5 sacks over the past two seasons.
12. Denver Broncos: Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama
Denver’s initial selection in the 2024 draft will be significantly influenced by their quarterback plans, but cornerback is also under consideration. Arnold exhibited a keen sense for the ball in 2023, tallying five interceptions and 63 tackles.
13. Las Vegas Raiders: J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan
Despite glimpses of potential from fourth-round rookie Aidan O’Connell, the competitive AFC West division likely demands a higher level of upside. McCarthy, having demonstrated accuracy and efficiency as a passer at Michigan, completed over 72% of his passes last season while showcasing a robust arm.
14. New Orleans Saints: Rome Odunze, WR, Washington
While Chris Olave is evolving into a star, the Saints could benefit from additional weapons to enhance the explosiveness of their offense. Odunze, with his combination of size and elite speed, presents himself as a formidable deep threat, having averaged 17.9 yards per reception leading into the National Championship.
15. Indianapolis Colts: Jared Verse, DE, Florida State
The most formidable defenses in the league are typically constructed upfront, and the Colts have an opportunity to create a dynamic front four by bringing in Verse alongside DeForest Buckner and Kwity Paye. Verse, who achieved nine sacks in consecutive seasons for the Seminoles, adds further potency to the defensive lineup.
16. Seattle Seahawks: Byron Murphy, DT, Texas
Following the appointment of former defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald to lead the team, it wouldn’t be unexpected for Seattle to prioritize defense in the upcoming draft. Murphy could play a pivotal role in helping the Seahawks fill the void left by free agent Leonard Williams, given his performance of recording five sacks at Texas last season.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU
The potential departure of Calvin Ridley in free agency opens up the possibility of Jacksonville considering a wide receiver. Thomas, with his exceptional physical attributes standing at 6-foot-5, adds intrigue to the position, having recorded an impressive 17 receiving touchdowns in 2023.
18. Cincinnati Bengals: J.C. Latham, OT, Alabama
Cincinnati has consistently grappled with concerns about the offensive line, and the impending free agency of right tackle Jonah Williams only exacerbates the situation. Latham presents a viable solution, capable of seamlessly stepping in at right tackle from the outset.
19. Los Angeles Rams: Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo
Joey Porter Jr. provided Pittsburgh with a building block in last year’s draft, yet the team still requires more depth, especially with multiple free agents and Patrick Peterson approaching retirement. DeJean remains a solid first-round prospect despite some injury issues in 2023, showcasing an eye for the ball with seven interceptions over the last two years.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers: Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa
Miami is gearing up to rebuild their offensive line with three free-agent starters. Fautanu has proven himself as an elite tackle for the Huskies this season and could also contribute as an interior lineman.
21. Miami Dolphins: Troy Fautanu, OT, Washington
The potential retirement of Jason Kelce leaves a significant void at center for Philadelphia. Powers-Johnson stands out as the best center on the board, potentially allowing the Eagles to maintain their offensive line advantage.
22. Philadelphia Eagles: Jackson Powers-Johnson, OC, Oregon
Houston faces the potential departure of several free agents in the secondary, led by Steven Nelson. Rakestraw may have only recorded one interception in four seasons at Mizzou, but he established himself as a lockdown corner for the Tigers.
23. Houston Texans (via Browns): Ennis Rakestraw Jr., CB, Missouri
Houston faces the potential departure of several free agents in the secondary, led by Steven Nelson. Rakestraw may have only recorded one interception in four seasons at Mizzou, but he established himself as a lockdown corner for the Tigers.
24. Dallas Cowboys: Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklanhoma
The pending free agency of veteran Tyron Smith puts Dallas in a challenging position. Guyton emerges as an excellent option if the team decides to keep Tyler Smith at guard, showcasing dominance for the Sooners over the last two seasons.
25. Green Bay Packers: Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia
The inability of tackle David Bakhtiari to return to form leaves a void at tackle for the Packers. Mims could be the solution as a mauling 6-foot-7 tackle prospect.
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State
The pending free agency of Mike Evans could prompt the Buccaneers to search for a wide receiver. At 6-foot-4, Coleman bears some resemblance to Evans as a Red Zone threat.
27. Arizona Cardinals (via Texans): Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson
Arizona has faced challenges at cornerback this season, making it a crucial area to address in the draft. Wiggins, with ample size and takeaway ability demonstrated through two picks in 10 games in 2023 for Clemson, could be a fitting choice.
28. Buffalo Bills: Chop Robinson, DE, Penn State
An edge rusher is high on Buffalo’s wishlist, considering the potential departures of Leonard Floyd and A.J. Epenesa. Robinson fits the mold as a long, projectable edge rusher.
29. Detroit Lions: Jer’Zhan Newton, DT, Illinois
Detroit’s defense made progress last season, but Aidan Hutchinson and company could use more help. Newton is a potentially dominant interior rusher after recording 7.5 sacks for the Illini in 2023.
30. Baltimore Ravens: Darius Robinson, DE, Missouri
Replacing the production of pending free agents Jadeveon Clowney and Justin Madubuike won’t be easy for the Texans. Robinson, a massive rusher at 6-foot-5, 290 pounds, comes off a breakout season with 8.5 sacks in 12 games for the Tigers.
31. San Francisco 49ers: Graham Barton, OT, Duke
Offensive line play has been crucial to San Francisco’s excellent offense in recent seasons, but they were exposed in the Super Bowl. Barton demonstrated stability at Duke and could play on the right side or potentially transition to the left side if veteran Trent Williams decides to retire.
32. Kansas City Chiefs: Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama
Kansas City’s ability to retain Chris Jones and L’Jarius Sneed could determine their focus early in the draft. If Sneed departs, McKinstry has the potential to immediately replace him, having amassed 22 passes defensed over the last two seasons for the Crimson Tide.
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